CouchScouts Podcast Ep. 36 RB's with the most to gain and the most to lose

CouchScouts
19 Jun 202440:06

TLDRIn episode 36 of the CouchScouts Podcast, hosts Matt Cooper and Matt Jackson discuss running backs with the most to gain and lose in the 2024 season. They analyze players like Zamir Wright, Javonte Williams, and Marshon Lloyd, who have high potential for value increase, as well as established stars like Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley who may face a decline. The conversation includes insights on player performance, injury recovery, and team dynamics, offering valuable perspectives for fantasy football strategy.

Takeaways

  • πŸŽ™οΈ This is episode 36 of the Couch Scouts podcast, hosted by Matt Cooper and Matt Jackson, discussing running backs with the most to gain and lose in the 2024 season.
  • πŸ“ˆ Zamir Wright, a Raiders running back, is highlighted as a player with significant potential to outperform his current startup ADP (Average Draft Position) of RB23.
  • 🏈 The podcast emphasizes the importance of not just watching the box score but also understanding the depth of a player's performance through film analysis.
  • πŸ” Gavonte Williams is chosen as another running back with much to gain, especially considering his recovery from a severe injury and the potential for exceeding expectations.
  • πŸ’° Marshon Lloyd is identified as a potential value pick in the later rounds of startup drafts, with his current ADP at RB40, indicating an opportunity for significant return on investment.
  • πŸš€ The discussion suggests that Austin Eckler, despite being an older player, could still have room to rise in value, especially if he can return to form in the right offensive system.
  • πŸ€” Concerns are raised about Devontae Hagan's crowded running back room in Miami, which could limit his opportunities and affect his value negatively.
  • 🏁 Christian McCaffrey, despite being a favorite player of the hosts, is considered to have more to lose than to gain due to his age and the potential for a decline in performance.
  • ⚑ Saquon Barkley's value is questioned due to the Eagles' historical use of an RB by committee approach, which could limit his touchdown potential and overall value.
  • πŸ’₯ Jonathan Taylor is flagged as a player who has not lived up to his high ADP in recent years and could see a significant drop in value if he does not perform exceptionally well in the upcoming season.

Q & A

  • Who are the hosts of the CouchScouts Podcast Episode 36?

    -The hosts of the CouchScouts Podcast Episode 36 are Matt Cooper and Matt Jackson.

  • What is the main topic of discussion in this episode of the CouchScouts Podcast?

    -The main topic of discussion in this episode is running backs with the most to gain and the most to lose heading into the 2024 season.

  • What tool does the podcast recommend for Dynasty startup drafts?

    -The podcast recommends using startup 8p from Dynasty Data Lab for Dynasty startup drafts.

  • How can listeners join the free Discord group mentioned in the podcast?

    -Listeners can join the free Discord group by following the link provided in the show description on their podcast platform.

  • What is the purpose of the Discord group for the CouchScouts Podcast community?

    -The purpose of the Discord group is to provide a platform for Dynasty enthusiasts to discuss trades, draft decisions, and player news in real-time.

  • What is the 'rookie guide' mentioned in the podcast and how much does it cost?

    -The 'rookie guide' is a comprehensive 70-plus-page PDF covering over 60 prospects with in-depth film breakdowns, strengths, weaknesses, and rankings. It costs $10.

  • Which running back does Matt Jackson consider to have the most to gain in the 2024 season?

    -Matt Jackson considers Zamir Wright, the Raiders running back, to have the most to gain in the 2024 season.

  • What is the current startup ADP (Average Draft Position) for Zamir Wright according to the podcast?

    -Zamir Wright's current startup ADP is running back 23.

  • What is the potential rise in ADP for Zamir Wright if he performs exceptionally well in the 2024 season?

    -If Zamir Wright performs exceptionally well, his ADP could rise to the range of Kiren Williams, who is a high startup pick and currently goes in the fourth round of startup drafts.

  • Why does Matt Jackson believe Javonte Williams is a good buy for the 2024 season?

    -Matt Jackson believes Javonte Williams is a good buy because he is recovering from a multi-ligament injury and could return to form, vastly outperforming his current ADP of RB22.

  • What is the Dynasty ADP for Marshon Lloyd according to the podcast?

    -Marshon Lloyd's Dynasty ADP is RB 40 in startup drafts.

  • Why does the podcast consider Austin Ekeler to be a valuable pick in the 13th round of a startup draft?

    -The podcast considers Austin Ekeler valuable because despite his age and previous injuries, he has a history of high performance and could outperform his current ADP of RB 41 if he returns to form.

  • What is the honorable mention running back discussed in the podcast?

    -The honorable mention running back discussed is JK Dobbins, who is considered a potential gain if he recovers well from his Achilles tear and performs well in the Chargers' backfield.

  • What concerns do the hosts have about Deon Jackson's potential to lose value in the 2024 season?

    -The hosts are concerned about the crowded running back room in Miami, the presence of other playmakers like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, and the potential for a timeshare with Raheem Mostert, which could limit Deon Jackson's touches and affect his value.

  • Why is Christian McCaffrey considered to have the most to lose heading into the 2024 season?

    -Christian McCaffrey is considered to have the most to lose because his ADP is already high at RB2, and with age catching up to him, there is a risk of decline in performance, which could significantly drop his value.

  • What factors contribute to Saquon Barkley's potential loss in value for the 2024 season?

    -Factors contributing to Saquon Barkley's potential loss in value include the Eagles' historical use of an RB by committee approach, the presence of other offensive weapons like DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown, and the departure of Jason Kelce, which could weaken the offensive line.

  • Why might Jonathan Taylor's value decrease in the 2024 season?

    -Jonathan Taylor's value might decrease if he has another disappointing season due to factors such as injuries, contract disputes, or sharing touches with a rushing quarterback, which could lead to frustration among fantasy managers and a drop in his ADP.

Outlines

00:00

πŸŽ™οΈ Podcast Introduction and Backgrounds

The hosts, Matt Cooper and Matt Jackson, introduce episode 36 of the 'Couch Scouts' podcast. They discuss their current situations, with Matt Jackson having a busy week due to Vacation Bible School (VBS). Matt Cooper is at his parents' house for their church's VBS and mentions that Matt Rert is dealing with personal matters. They express excitement for the show and mention a change in the recording schedule. The hosts also invite listeners to join their free Discord community for Dynasty football discussions and promote their rookie guide for a fee, which provides in-depth analysis of over 60 prospects.

05:01

🏈 Discussing Running Backs with the Most to Gain in 2024

The hosts begin a series discussing NFL players with the most to gain or lose in the 2024 season, focusing on running backs. They use startup ADP data from Dynasty Data Lab and select players who could see significant value changes. The first running back discussed is Zamir Wright of the Raiders, who has a current startup ADP of running back 23. The hosts believe he has the potential to outperform this ranking, especially considering the Raiders' commitment to a ground game and the absence of Josh Jacobs.

10:02

πŸ“Š Analyzing Gavonte Williams' Potential for a Comeback

The hosts analyze Gavonte Williams, who had a promising rookie season but suffered a severe knee injury in his second year, causing his dynasty value to drop. Despite this, they believe he has the talent to bounce back and outperform his current ADP of running back 22. They compare his situation to that of other players who have recovered from similar injuries and discuss the potential for Williams to regain his former status if he can return to full health.

15:02

πŸ” Marshon Lloyd's Value and Potential in the Running Back Market

Matt Jackson discusses his choice of Marshon Lloyd, who has a current Dynasty ADP of running back 40. Despite being in a timeshare with Josh Jacobs, the hosts believe Lloyd's explosiveness and speed make him a valuable asset. They consider his current ADP to be a steal, given his potential to make plays with limited touches and his ability to score from anywhere on the field.

20:04

πŸ€” Austin Ekeler's Position and Upside in the 2024 Season

The hosts debate the value of Austin Ekeler, who is currently being drafted at running back 41. Despite concerns about his age and previous injuries, they see potential for him to regain form and be a valuable PPR asset, especially considering his role in the passing game. They argue that his current ADP does not reflect his potential contribution to a team, especially if he can stay healthy and perform at a high level.

25:07

🏹 Honorable Mention: JK Dobbins' Recovery and Upside

As an honorable mention, the hosts discuss JK Dobbins, who is currently drafted at running back 47. They acknowledge the challenges of recovering from an Achilles tear but highlight Dobbins' potential to gain value if he can return to form. The hosts note the open running back room of the Chargers and Dobbins' familiarity with the offensive system as factors that could contribute to his success.

30:10

βš”οΈ Debate Over Deonain's Value and Risks in Miami's Offense

The hosts engage in a debate about Deonain, a running back for the Miami Dolphins. While acknowledging his talent and potential, they discuss the crowded backfield and the challenges he faces in securing touches. They express concerns about his current ADP of running back 8, considering the uncertainty of his role and the potential for his value to decrease if he does not secure a significant share of the offense.

35:11

πŸ’₯ Christian McCaffrey's High Stakes in the 2024 Season

The hosts identify Christian McCaffrey as a running back with the most to lose heading into the 2024 season. Despite being a favorite player, they discuss the risks associated with his age and the potential for his value to decline. They note that while he could maintain his current value with a strong season, there is limited room for growth and significant risk of a drop in ADP if he does not perform at an elite level.

πŸ“‰ Saquon Barkley's Uncertain Future and Risk of Decline

The hosts discuss Saquon Barkley as another running back with significant risks. They consider the changes to the Eagles' offensive line and the addition of new playmakers as factors that could limit Barkley's opportunities. They express concerns about his touchdown upside and his ability to maintain his current ADP of running back 7, given the potential for a decline in production.

πŸ” Jonathan Taylor's Pressure to Perform and Risk of Losing Value

The hosts identify Jonathan Taylor as a younger running back who could lose significant value if he does not perform at a high level in the upcoming season. They discuss his past successes and the expectations associated with his ADP, noting that another disappointing season could lead to a drop in his ranking. They highlight the need for Taylor to exceed the average performance he has delivered over the past two years to maintain his value.

πŸ“ˆ Final Thoughts and Accessibility of the Podcast

In the conclusion, the hosts express gratitude to their audience and announce that their podcast is now available on more platforms, including Spotify and Amazon Music. They encourage listeners to leave a five-star review to help the show grow and remind viewers of their presence on social media and other podcast platforms. They also tease future discussions and invite audience engagement.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘CouchScouts Podcast

The CouchScouts Podcast is the title of the show being transcribed. It is a series where hosts discuss various topics related to American football, specifically focusing on player performance analysis and fantasy football strategy. In this episode, the hosts are examining running backs in the context of their potential gains or losses in the 2024 season.

πŸ’‘Matt Cooper

Matt Cooper is the host of the CouchScouts Podcast. He leads the discussion and engages with his co-host, Matt Jackson, to explore the potential of different running backs in the upcoming season. His role is central to guiding the conversation and providing insights into player performance.

πŸ’‘Dynasty Data Lab

The Dynasty Data Lab is mentioned as the source of the startup 8p, a tool or set of data used by the hosts to analyze players' potential value in a fantasy football context. It helps them to discuss which players have the most to gain or lose in terms of their performance and value in the 2024 season.

πŸ’‘Running Back (RB)

Running Back, or RB, is a position in American football, and within the context of this podcast, it refers to the players whose performance and value are being analyzed. The hosts are particularly interested in the potential gains or losses these players might experience during the 2024 season, which is crucial for fantasy football players when drafting their teams.

πŸ’‘Value-wise

Value-wise is a term used by the hosts to discuss the potential increase or decrease in a player's value in terms of their contribution to a fantasy football team. It is a key concept in this podcast as the hosts analyze which running backs have the most to gain or lose in the upcoming season.

πŸ’‘Discord

Discord is mentioned as a platform where the podcast has a community channel. It is used as a communication tool for fans of the podcast to discuss fantasy football strategies, trades, and player news in real-time with other enthusiasts.

πŸ’‘Rookie Guide

The Rookie Guide is a product offered by the CouchScouts Podcast for a fee of $10. It is a comprehensive PDF document that provides in-depth analysis, including film breakdowns, strengths, weaknesses, and rankings of over 60 rookie prospects. It is designed to help fantasy football players dominate their rookie drafts.

πŸ’‘Zamir Wright

Zamir Wright is a running back for the Raiders mentioned in the script as a player with significant potential to gain value in the 2024 season. The hosts discuss his current startup ADP (Average Draft Position) and how his situation with the team could lead to a higher-end performance than his current draft position suggests.

πŸ’‘Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams is another running back discussed in the podcast. He had a promising rookie season but suffered a significant knee injury in his sophomore year, which affected his dynasty value. The hosts believe that if he can return to full health, he has the potential to vastly outperform his current ADP.

πŸ’‘Marshon Lloyd

Marshon Lloyd is identified as a running back with a lot of potential who is currently being drafted at a low ADP. The hosts believe his explosiveness and speed could make him a valuable asset in the 2024 season, especially considering he might be part of a timeshare with Josh Jacobs.

πŸ’‘Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler is a veteran running back discussed towards the end of the script. Despite concerns about his age and recent performance, the hosts argue that his current ADP is undervalued, considering his past performance and potential role in the offense.

Highlights

Introduction of Episode 36 of the Couch Scouts podcast with hosts Matt Cooper and Matt Jackson.

Discussion about Matt Jackson's busy day due to Vacation Bible School (VBS).

Matt Rert's absence due to personal matters and the impact on recording timing.

Invitation to join the free Discord community for Dynasty football enthusiasts.

Promotion of the rookie guide for in-depth analysis of football prospects.

Analysis of running back Zamir Wright's potential to outperform his current startup ADP ranking.

Zamir Wright's performance as a starter in the last four weeks of the season and his fantasy football implications.

Gavonte Williams' potential for a comeback following a severe injury and his current undervalued status.

The comparison between Gavonte Williams' situation and that of other running backs who recovered from major injuries.

Marshon Lloyd's value as an underdrafted rookie with high potential in the Dynasty league.

Austin Eckler's current ADP ranking and the reasons to believe in his potential for a bounce-back season.

JK Dobbins' honorable mention as a running back with the most to gain if he recovers from an Achilles tear.

Deon a chain's crowded running back room in Miami and the implications for his fantasy value.

Christian McCaffrey's high ADP ranking and the risks associated with his age and potential decline in performance.

Saquon Barkley's situation with the Eagles and the concerns over his touchdown upside and offensive line.

Jonathan Taylor's high startup ADP ranking and the expectations versus his recent performance.

The availability of the Couch Scouts podcast on various platforms and the request for listener support.